The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Cleveland vs Philadelphia

2 venues · 71 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

70 outcomes · $1.0M reported volume

Observed 42s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 22, 2026

2 outcomes · $685K reported volume

Observed 42s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
  • Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
  • Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
  • Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
  • Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Cleveland

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

43.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 44.0%

Cavaliers vs. 76ers

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 44.0%

Cleveland

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

1H Moneyline

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

45.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 46.0%

1H Moneyline

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H O/U 106.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

76.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 81.0%

1H O/U 106.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H O/U 110.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

65.5%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 67.0%

1H O/U 110.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H O/U 114.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

54.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 55.0%

1H O/U 114.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H O/U 118.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0%

1H O/U 118.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H O/U 122.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0%

1H O/U 122.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread -0.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 54.0%

1H Spread -0.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread -2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 37.0%

1H Spread -2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread -5.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 36.0%

1H Spread -5.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread -6.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 37.0%

1H Spread -6.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 51.0%

1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread: 76ers (-3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 42.0%

1H Spread: 76ers (-3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread: 76ers (-4.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0%

1H Spread: 76ers (-4.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0%

1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0%

1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 31.0%

1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

51.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0%

Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

54.5%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 55.0%

Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 51.0%

Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.5%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 47.0%

Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

54.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 58.0%

Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

54.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 57.0%

Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 20.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 54.0%

Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 20.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

57.5%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 58.0%

Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 44.0%

Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

58.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 59.0%

Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Joel Embiid: Points O/U 22.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.5%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 54.0%

Joel Embiid: Points O/U 22.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 57.0%

Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 50.0%

LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

LeBron James: Points O/U 15.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 51.0%

LeBron James: Points O/U 15.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 54.0%

LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 221.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

81.5%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 82.0%

O/U 221.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 224.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

76.5%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 77.0%

O/U 224.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 227.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

71.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 72.0%

O/U 227.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 230.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

65.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 66.0%

O/U 230.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 232.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

60.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 61.0%

O/U 232.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 233.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

58.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 59.0%

O/U 233.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 234.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

56.5%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 57.0%

O/U 234.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 235.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

54.5%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 55.0%

O/U 235.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 237.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 50.0%

O/U 237.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 238.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

O/U 238.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 240.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 43.0%

O/U 240.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 243.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 37.0%

O/U 243.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 246.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0%

O/U 246.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 249.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

O/U 249.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Odd/Even Score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Odd/Even Score

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Philadelphia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 57.0%

Philadelphia

Open Kalshi ↗

Spread -3.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

Spread -3.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -5.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 41.0%

Spread -5.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -6.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0%

Spread -6.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -7.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Spread -7.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -8.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0%

Spread -8.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -10.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Spread -10.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -11.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Spread -11.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -14.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0%

Spread -14.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -17.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Spread -17.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

54.5%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 55.0%

Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: 76ers (-2.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 51.0%

Spread: 76ers (-2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: 76ers (-4.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 44.0%

Spread: 76ers (-4.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 42.0%

Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 34.0%

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Team to Score First

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 46.0%

Team to Score First

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 68.0%

Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 49.0%

Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 22.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 56.0%

Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 22.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 45.0%

Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 45.0%

VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 10.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 56.0%

VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 10.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 11.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 51.0%

VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 11.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0%

VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.