Market comparison
CMA Awards: Musician of the Year
2 venues · 6 outcome rows · 5 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗32 outcomes · $11K reported volume
Observed 5m ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 19, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗6 outcomes · $4K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 18, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
- Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Charlie Worsham Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp | ||
Jenee Fleenor Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Paul Franklin Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.0 pp | ||
Rob McNelley Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.3 pp | ||
Tom Bukovac Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.2 pp | ||
Tie Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Charlie Worsham
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.5 pp
Jenee Fleenor
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.5 pp
Paul Franklin
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.0 pp
Rob McNelley
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.3 pp
Tom Bukovac
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.2 pp
Tie
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.