Market comparison
CMA New Artist of the Year 2026
2 venues · 6 outcome rows · 5 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗32 outcomes · $11K reported volume
Observed 20s ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 19, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗6 outcomes · $6K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 18, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
- Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Avery Anna Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.4 pp | ||
Carter Faith Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.3 pp | ||
Emily Ann Roberts Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.2 pp | ||
Stephen Wilson Jr. Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 4.0 pp | ||
Tucker Wetmore Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp | ||
Tie Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Avery Anna
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.4 pp
Carter Faith
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.3 pp
Emily Ann Roberts
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.2 pp
Stephen Wilson Jr.
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.0 pp
Tucker Wetmore
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.5 pp
Tie
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.