Market comparison

CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026

2 venues · 6 outcome rows · 5 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

32 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 19, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 38s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 18, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Lady A Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.8% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2% Lady A Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Lady A Open Kalshi ↗	2.2 pp
Little Big Town Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.9% Bid 2.1% · Ask 5.7% Little Big Town Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Little Big Town Open Kalshi ↗	2.9 pp
Midland Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.9% Midland Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Midland Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Old Dominion Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	19.1% Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.1% Old Dominion Open Polymarket ↗	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Old Dominion Open Kalshi ↗	2.0 pp
The Red Clay Strays Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	71.5% Bid 70.0% · Ask 73.0% The Red Clay Strays Open Polymarket ↗	77.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 78.0% The Red Clay Strays Open Kalshi ↗	5.5 pp
Tie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗	—

Lady A

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2%

Lady A

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Lady A

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.2 pp

Little Big Town

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 5.7%

Little Big Town

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Little Big Town

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.9 pp

Midland

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.9%

Midland

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Midland

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Old Dominion

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

19.1%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.1%

Old Dominion

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Old Dominion

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

The Red Clay Strays

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

71.5%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 73.0%

The Red Clay Strays

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 78.0%

The Red Clay Strays

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.5 pp

Tie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tie

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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