Market comparison

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $29K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Hurd, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0% Hurd, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hurd, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0% Hurd, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hurd, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 40.0% Hurd, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hurd, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Hurd, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hurd, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.6% Bid 3.2% · Ask 15.0% Hurd, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hurd, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.6% Hurd, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hurd, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.1% Hurd, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 40.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.3% Bid 16.1% · Ask 20.5% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.4% Bid 18.8% · Ask 20.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.9% Bid 6.8% · Ask 7.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 7.1% · Ask 14.9% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.5% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.6% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Romero, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Romero, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Romero, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 9.2% · Ask 21.0% Romero, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Romero, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 0.8% · Ask 12.0% Romero, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Hurd, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0%

Hurd, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hurd, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0%

Hurd, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hurd, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 40.0%

Hurd, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hurd, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Hurd, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hurd, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.6%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 15.0%

Hurd, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hurd, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.6%

Hurd, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hurd, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.1%

Hurd, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 40.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.3%

Bid 16.1% · Ask 20.5%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.4%

Bid 18.8% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.9%

Bid 6.8% · Ask 7.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 7.1% · Ask 14.9%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.5%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.6%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Romero, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Romero, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Romero, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 9.2% · Ask 21.0%

Romero, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Romero, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 12.0%

Romero, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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