Market comparison

Colorado's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 30s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Colorado's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Democrat 0-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 5.2% · Ask 11.7% Democrat 20-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 1.7% · Ask 1.8% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 2.3% · Ask 6.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 20.3% · Ask 22.7% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.1% Bid 17.1% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.3% Bid 9.6% · Ask 15.1% Democrat 60%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Neguse, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.6% Bid 91.7% · Ask 93.6% Neguse, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Neguse, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.3% Neguse, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Neguse, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.4% Neguse, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Neguse, 43+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0% Neguse, 43+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Neguse, 46+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0% Neguse, 46+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Neguse, 49+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0% Neguse, 49+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Neguse, 52+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 34.0% Neguse, 52+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Neguse, 55+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 22.0% Neguse, 55+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Neguse, 58+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 12.0% Neguse, 58+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Democrat 0-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 11.7%

Democrat 20-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 1.8%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 6.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 20.3% · Ask 22.7%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.1%

Bid 17.1% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.3%

Bid 9.6% · Ask 15.1%

Democrat 60%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Neguse, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.6%

Bid 91.7% · Ask 93.6%

Neguse, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Neguse, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.3%

Neguse, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Neguse, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.4%

Neguse, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Neguse, 43+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0%

Neguse, 43+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Neguse, 46+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0%

Neguse, 46+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Neguse, 49+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0%

Neguse, 49+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Neguse, 52+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 34.0%

Neguse, 52+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Neguse, 55+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 22.0%

Neguse, 55+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Neguse, 58+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 12.0%

Neguse, 58+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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