Market comparison

Connecticut Governor Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Connecticut Governor Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.2% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.6% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.7% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.1% Bid 4.6% · Ask 9.7% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.6% Bid 9.9% · Ask 13.3% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lamont, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	97.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 97.0% Lamont, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamont, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.4% Lamont, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamont, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 81.0% Lamont, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamont, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0% Lamont, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamont, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 49.0% Lamont, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamont, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 32.0% Lamont, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamont, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0% Lamont, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamont, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 12.0% Lamont, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lamont, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.4% Lamont, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.6% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.2%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.6%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.7%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.1%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 9.7%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.6%

Bid 9.9% · Ask 13.3%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lamont, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 97.0%

Lamont, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamont, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.4%

Lamont, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamont, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 81.0%

Lamont, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamont, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0%

Lamont, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamont, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 49.0%

Lamont, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamont, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 32.0%

Lamont, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamont, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0%

Lamont, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamont, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.4%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 12.0%

Lamont, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamont, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.4%

Lamont, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.6%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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