Market comparison

Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.9% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.4% Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.9% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 23.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.7% Bid 6.3% · Ask 13.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.8% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hayes, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.9% Bid 91.0% · Ask 96.9% Hayes, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hayes, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 90.4% Hayes, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hayes, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	81.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 83.0% Hayes, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hayes, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 73.0% Hayes, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hayes, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	57.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 62.0% Hayes, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hayes, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 47.0% Hayes, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hayes, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0% Hayes, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hayes, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 27.0% Hayes, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hayes, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 5.2% · Ask 9.0% Hayes, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.5% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.9%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.4%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.9%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 23.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.7%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 13.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.8%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Hayes, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

96.9%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 96.9%

Hayes, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hayes, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 90.4%

Hayes, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hayes, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 83.0%

Hayes, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hayes, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 73.0%

Hayes, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hayes, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 62.0%

Hayes, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hayes, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 47.0%

Hayes, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hayes, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0%

Hayes, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hayes, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 27.0%

Hayes, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hayes, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 9.0%

Hayes, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.5%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets