The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Metizport (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $235K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 22, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
  • Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
  • Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
  • Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
  • Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Sangal

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 54.0%

Match Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 55.0%

Sangal

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Metizport (-3.5) vs Sangal (+3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 18.8%

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Metizport (-3.5) vs Sangal (+3.5) · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sangal (-6.5) vs Metizport (+6.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 18.8%

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sangal (-6.5) vs Metizport (+6.5) · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 81.1% · Ask 100.0%

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0%

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 16.0%

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 1 Winner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Map 1 Winner · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Metizport (-6.5) vs Sangal (+6.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid — · Ask 95.0%

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Metizport (-6.5) vs Sangal (+6.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sangal (-3.5) vs Metizport (+3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid — · Ask 94.0%

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sangal (-3.5) vs Metizport (+3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

99.6%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0%

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

99.6%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0%

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 2 Winner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Map 2 Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Sangal (+1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 1.0%

Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Sangal (+1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Map Handicap: SNG (-1.5) vs Metizport (+1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid — · Ask 0.9%

Map Handicap: SNG (-1.5) vs Metizport (+1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Metizport

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 46.0%

Metizport

Open Kalshi ↗

O/U 2.5 Games

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

99.5%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

O/U 2.5 Games

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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