Market comparison

CPI core in November 2026

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $83K reported volume

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 10, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $157K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 22, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for CPI core in November 2026
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
1.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.8% Bid 26.7% · Ask 28.8% ≤1.9% Open Polymarket ↗ 3.2% Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.1% ≤1.9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
2.0-2.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.2% Bid 65.5% · Ask 68.9% 2.0-2.4% Open Polymarket ↗ 91.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 93.0% 2.0-2.4% Open Polymarket ↗	—
2.5-2.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.7% 2.5-2.9% Open Polymarket ↗ 4.7% Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.1% 2.5-2.9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.0-3.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid — · Ask 1.1% 3.0-3.4% Open Polymarket ↗ 4.8% Bid 1.6% · Ask 8.0% 3.0-3.4% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.5-3.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% 3.5-3.9% Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% 3.5-3.9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.0%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.2% Bid — · Ask 0.4% 4.0%+ Open Polymarket ↗ 0.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.1% 4.0%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above 0.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 97.0% Above 0.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 85.0% Above 0.1% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 51.0% Above 0.2% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0% Above 0.3% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Above 0.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above 0.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above 0.6% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above 0.7% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above 0.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above 0.9% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 1.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Above 1.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

1.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

27.8%

Bid 26.7% · Ask 28.8%

≤1.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

3.2%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.1%

≤1.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

2.0-2.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

67.2%

Bid 65.5% · Ask 68.9%

2.0-2.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

91.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 93.0%

2.0-2.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

2.5-2.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.7%

2.5-2.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

4.7%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.1%

2.5-2.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

3.0-3.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.1%

3.0-3.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

4.8%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 8.0%

3.0-3.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

3.5-3.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

3.5-3.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

3.5-3.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

4.0%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

4.0%+

Open Polymarket ↗

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.1%

4.0%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Above 0.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 97.0%

Above 0.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 0.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 85.0%

Above 0.1%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 0.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 51.0%

Above 0.2%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 0.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0%

Above 0.3%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 0.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above 0.4%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 0.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above 0.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 0.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above 0.6%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 0.7%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above 0.7%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 0.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above 0.8%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 0.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above 0.9%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 1.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Above 1.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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