Market comparison

CT-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $35K reported volume

Observed 49s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 49s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for CT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Bronin, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.2% Bid 89.0% · Ask 93.9% Bronin, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bronin, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	81.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 82.0% Bronin, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bronin, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 73.0% Bronin, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bronin, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 58.0% Bronin, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bronin, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 47.0% Bronin, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bronin, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0% Bronin, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bronin, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 9.9% · Ask 21.0% Bronin, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bronin, 43+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 1.5% · Ask 13.0% Bronin, 43+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bronin, 46+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.6% Bronin, 46+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 10-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 10-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.2% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 40.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.5% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 50%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.3% Democrat 50%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—

Bronin, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

90.2%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 93.9%

Bronin, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bronin, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 82.0%

Bronin, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bronin, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 73.0%

Bronin, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bronin, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 58.0%

Bronin, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bronin, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 47.0%

Bronin, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bronin, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0%

Bronin, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bronin, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 9.9% · Ask 21.0%

Bronin, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bronin, 43+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 13.0%

Bronin, 43+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bronin, 46+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.6%

Bronin, 46+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Democrat 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 10-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 10-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

34.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 40.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.5%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.3%

Democrat 50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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