Market comparison

CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 49s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
DeLauro, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 93.4% DeLauro, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
DeLauro, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 94.9% DeLauro, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
DeLauro, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 87.0% DeLauro, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
DeLauro, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0% DeLauro, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
DeLauro, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0% DeLauro, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
DeLauro, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 46.0% DeLauro, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
DeLauro, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% DeLauro, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
DeLauro, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 8.7% · Ask 20.0% DeLauro, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
DeLauro, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.2% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.2% DeLauro, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.4% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.8% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 27.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.9% Bid 17.4% · Ask 24.5% Democrat 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

DeLauro, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 93.4%

DeLauro, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

DeLauro, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 94.9%

DeLauro, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

DeLauro, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 87.0%

DeLauro, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

DeLauro, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0%

DeLauro, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

DeLauro, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0%

DeLauro, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

DeLauro, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 46.0%

DeLauro, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

DeLauro, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0%

DeLauro, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

DeLauro, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 8.7% · Ask 20.0%

DeLauro, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

DeLauro, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.2%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.2%

DeLauro, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.4%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.8%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 27.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.9%

Bid 17.4% · Ask 24.5%

Democrat 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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