The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Denver vs Oklahoma City

2 venues · 67 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

66 outcomes · $648K reported volume

Observed 18s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 23, 2026

2 outcomes · $228K reported volume

Observed 18s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 25, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
  • Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
  • Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
  • Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
  • Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Denver

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0%

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0%

Denver

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

1H Moneyline

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0%

1H Moneyline

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H O/U 106.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

74.5%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 76.0%

1H O/U 106.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H O/U 110.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

64.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 65.0%

1H O/U 110.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H O/U 114.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 53.0%

1H O/U 114.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H O/U 118.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 40.0%

1H O/U 118.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H O/U 122.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 28.0%

1H O/U 122.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread -0.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 93.0%

1H Spread -0.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread -1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

61.5%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 63.0%

1H Spread -1.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread -4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 51.0%

1H Spread -4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread -7.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 41.0%

1H Spread -7.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1H Spread -9.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 45.0%

1H Spread -9.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 52.0%

Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

51.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 59.0%

Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 49.0%

Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 54.0%

Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 7.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 59.0%

Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 7.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 8.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 50.0%

Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 8.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 56.0%

Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 43.0%

Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 50.0%

Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 53.0%

Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 48.0%

Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 44.0%

Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 49.0%

Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 51.0%

Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 42.0%

Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 51.0%

Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 41.0%

Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 49.0%

Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.5%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 49.0%

Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 65.0%

Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 51.0%

Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 50.0%

Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 221.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

81.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 83.0%

O/U 221.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 224.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

75.5%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 77.0%

O/U 224.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 227.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

68.5%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 69.0%

O/U 227.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 230.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

63.5%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 65.0%

O/U 230.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 232.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

59.5%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 61.0%

O/U 232.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 233.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

57.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 58.0%

O/U 233.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 234.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.5%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 56.0%

O/U 234.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 235.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0%

O/U 235.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 237.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 48.0%

O/U 237.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 238.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 47.0%

O/U 238.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 240.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 41.0%

O/U 240.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 243.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 35.0%

O/U 243.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 246.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 28.0%

O/U 246.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 249.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

O/U 249.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Odd/Even Score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Odd/Even Score

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Oklahoma City

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 74.0%

Oklahoma City

Open Kalshi ↗

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 50.0%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 52.0%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

56.5%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 58.0%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

69.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 70.0%

Spread -2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -3.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0%

Spread -3.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

63.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 64.0%

Spread -4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -5.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

59.5%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 60.0%

Spread -5.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -6.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Spread -6.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -7.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.5%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 54.0%

Spread -7.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -9.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

44.5%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 45.0%

Spread -9.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -10.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 42.0%

Spread -10.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -12.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 37.0%

Spread -12.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -15.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 28.0%

Spread -15.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -18.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0%

Spread -18.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -21.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Spread -21.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 49.0%

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Team to Score First

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Team to Score First

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.