Market comparison
Denver vs Oklahoma City
2 venues · 67 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗66 outcomes · $648K reported volume
Observed 18s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 23, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗2 outcomes · $228K reported volume
Observed 18s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 25, 2026
Known rule differences between venues
- Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
- Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
- Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
- Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
- UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
- Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Denver Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
1H Moneyline Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
1H O/U 106.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
1H O/U 110.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
1H O/U 114.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
1H O/U 118.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
1H O/U 122.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
1H Spread -0.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
1H Spread -1.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
1H Spread -4.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
1H Spread -7.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
1H Spread -9.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 7.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 221.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 224.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 227.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 230.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 232.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 233.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 234.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 235.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 237.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 238.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 240.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 243.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 246.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 249.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Odd/Even Score Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Oklahoma City Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -2.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -3.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -4.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -5.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -6.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -7.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -9.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -10.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -12.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -15.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -18.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -21.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Team to Score First Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Denver
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.5 pp
1H Moneyline
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
1H O/U 106.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
1H O/U 110.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
1H O/U 114.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
1H O/U 118.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
1H O/U 122.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
1H Spread -0.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
1H Spread -1.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
1H Spread -4.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
1H Spread -7.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
1H Spread -9.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 7.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 221.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 224.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 227.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 230.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 232.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 233.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 234.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 235.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 237.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 238.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 240.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 243.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 246.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
O/U 249.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Odd/Even Score
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Oklahoma City
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread -2.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread -3.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread -4.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread -5.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread -6.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread -7.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread -9.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread -10.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread -12.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread -15.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread -18.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread -21.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Team to Score First
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.