Market comparison

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B

2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

29 outcomes · $612K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 22, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
PARIVISION Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Match Winner Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% PARIVISION Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Astra Invicta Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Astra Invicta Open Kalshi ↗	—
Game 1 Winner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Game 1 Winner · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 1: Any Player Rampage? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 94.0% Game 1: Any Player Rampage? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 89.0% Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 100.0% Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 100.0% Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 1: Ends in Daytime? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 100.0% Game 1: Ends in Daytime? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 2 Winner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Game 2 Winner Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 2: Any Player Rampage? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% Game 2: Any Player Rampage? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.0% Bid — · Ask 94.0% Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 2: Ends in Daytime? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 100.0% Game 2: Ends in Daytime? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 3: Any Player Rampage? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% Game 3: Any Player Rampage? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game 3: Ends in Daytime? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% Game 3: Ends in Daytime? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 2.5 Games Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 2.0% · Ask 0.1% O/U 2.5 Games Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 100.0% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 100.0% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid — · Ask 100.0% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 100.0% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 100.0% Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 100.0% Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 18.0% Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 18.0% Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1? · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

PARIVISION

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Match Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

PARIVISION

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Astra Invicta

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Astra Invicta

Open Kalshi ↗

Game 1 Winner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Game 1 Winner · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 94.0%

Game 1: Any Player Rampage? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 89.0%

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 100.0%

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 100.0%

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 100.0%

Game 1: Ends in Daytime? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 2 Winner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Game 2 Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid — · Ask 94.0%

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 100.0%

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 2.5 Games

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 0.1%

O/U 2.5 Games

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 100.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 100.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 100.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 100.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 100.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 18.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 18.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1? · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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