Market comparison

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

20 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 12s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Team Yandex Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	80.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 80.0% Team Yandex Open Kalshi ↗	77.5% Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0% Match Winner Open Polymarket ↗	2.5 pp
Game 1 Winner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 92.0% Game 1 Winner Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 1: Any Player Rampage? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 96.0% Game 1: Any Player Rampage? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 1: Ends in Daytime? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% Game 1: Ends in Daytime? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 2 Winner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 78.0% Game 2 Winner Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 2: Any Player Rampage? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 92.0% Game 2: Any Player Rampage? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 2: Ends in Daytime? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% Game 2: Ends in Daytime? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 3: Any Player Rampage? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 96.0% Game 3: Any Player Rampage? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game 3: Ends in Daytime? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% Game 3: Ends in Daytime? Open Polymarket ↗	—
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 54.0% Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—
O/U 2.5 Games Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 47.0% O/U 2.5 Games Open Polymarket ↗	—
OG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0% OG Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Team Yandex

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 80.0%

Team Yandex

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

77.5%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0%

Match Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Game 1 Winner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

61.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 92.0%

Game 1 Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 96.0%

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 2 Winner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

72.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 78.0%

Game 2 Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 92.0%

Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

51.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 96.0%

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Open Polymarket ↗

Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

52.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 54.0%

Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 2.5 Games

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 47.0%

O/U 2.5 Games

Open Polymarket ↗

OG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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