Market comparison

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 20, 2026

1 venue · 40 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · closed

Polymarket

40 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 22h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Oct 22, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 20, 2026
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Alabama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Alabama · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Arizona Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Arizona · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Arkansas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Arkansas · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
California Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old California · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Colorado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Colorado · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Delaware Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Delaware · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Florida Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Florida · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Georgia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Georgia · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Idaho Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Idaho · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Illinois Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Illinois · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Indiana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Indiana · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Iowa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Iowa · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kansas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Kansas · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kentucky Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Kentucky · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Louisiana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Louisiana · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Maryland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Maryland · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Minnesota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Minnesota · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mississippi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Mississippi · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Missouri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Missouri · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Montana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Montana · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nebraska Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Nebraska · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nevada Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Nevada · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
New Jersey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old New Jersey · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
New Mexico Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old New Mexico · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
North Carolina Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old North Carolina · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
North Dakota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old North Dakota · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ohio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ohio · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Oklahoma Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Oklahoma · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Oregon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Oregon · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pennsylvania Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Pennsylvania · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
South Carolina Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old South Carolina · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
South Dakota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old South Dakota · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tennessee Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Tennessee · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Texas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Texas · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Utah Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Utah · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Virginia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Virginia · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Washington Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Washington · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
West Virginia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old West Virginia · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Wisconsin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Wisconsin · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Wyoming Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Wyoming · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

Alabama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Alabama · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Arizona

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Arizona · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Arkansas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Arkansas · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

California

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

California · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Colorado

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Colorado · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Delaware

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Delaware · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Florida

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Florida · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Georgia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Georgia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Idaho

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Idaho · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Illinois

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Illinois · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Indiana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Indiana · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Iowa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Iowa · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kansas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Kansas · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kentucky

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Kentucky · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Louisiana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Louisiana · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Maryland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Maryland · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Minnesota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Minnesota · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Mississippi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Mississippi · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Missouri

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Missouri · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Montana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Montana · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Nebraska

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Nebraska · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Nevada

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Nevada · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

New Jersey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

New Jersey · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

New Mexico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

New Mexico · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

North Carolina

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

North Carolina · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

North Dakota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

North Dakota · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Ohio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ohio · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Oklahoma

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Oklahoma · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Oregon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Oregon · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Pennsylvania

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Pennsylvania · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

South Carolina

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

South Carolina · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

South Dakota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

South Dakota · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Tennessee

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Tennessee · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Texas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Texas · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Utah

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Utah · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Virginia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Virginia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Washington

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Washington · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

West Virginia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

West Virginia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Wisconsin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Wisconsin · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Wyoming

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Wyoming · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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