Market comparison
F1 Drivers' Champion
2 venues · 33 outcome rows · 20 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗32 outcomes · $204.6M reported volume
Observed 28s ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 6, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗22 outcomes · $9.6M reported volume
Observed 28s ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 22, 2026
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
- Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Alexander Albon Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Andrea Kimi Antonelli Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Arvid Lindblad Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Carlos Sainz Jr. Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Charles Leclerc Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Esteban Ocon Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Fernando Alonso Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Franco Colapinto Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Gabriel Bortoleto Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
George Russell Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Isack Hadjar Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Lance Stroll Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Lando Norris Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Lewis Hamilton Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Liam Lawson Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Max Verstappen Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Oliver Bearman Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Oscar Piastri Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Pierre Gasly Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Valtteri Bottas Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Driver A Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver B Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver C Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver D Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver E Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver F Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver G Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver H Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Driver I Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nico Hulkenberg Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nico Hülkenberg Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sergio Perez Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sergio Pérez Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Alexander Albon
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.1 pp
Arvid Lindblad
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Charles Leclerc
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Esteban Ocon
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Fernando Alonso
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Franco Colapinto
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Gabriel Bortoleto
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
George Russell
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Isack Hadjar
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Lance Stroll
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Lando Norris
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Lewis Hamilton
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Liam Lawson
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Max Verstappen
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.8 pp
Oliver Bearman
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Oscar Piastri
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Pierre Gasly
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Valtteri Bottas
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Driver A
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Driver B
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Driver C
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Driver D
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Driver E
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Driver F
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Driver G
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Driver H
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Driver I
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Nico Hulkenberg
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Nico Hülkenberg
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Sergio Perez
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Sergio Pérez
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.