The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

FC Barcelona vs Aston Villa: Correct Score

2 venues · 46 outcome rows · 29 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

38 outcomes · $60K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 6, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

37 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Kalshi lists Aston Villa wins only up to 4-3 and omits scores like 5-x or 0-0 variants beyond listed; Polymarket lists scores up to 5 goals per side with an 'Any Other Score' catch-all. Scores listed on only one venue (e.g. Kalshi Barcelona 6-0 to 8-1, Polymarket 0-4, 0-5, 1-5 Villa wins) have no linked counterpart, and Kalshi has no catch-all outcome.
  • Polymarket 'Any Other Score' pays for scores outside its list (e.g. Barcelona 6-0), while Kalshi pays Yes on those specific scores; the Polymarket Any Other Score outcome is not identical to any Kalshi outcome.
  • Polymarket: if the match is canceled with no make-up game, resolves to 0-0; if postponed, stays open. Kalshi rules do not specify cancellation or postponement handling.
  • Polymarket specifies a resolution source hierarchy (official stats, Flashscore, Sofascore, credible reporting) and a 50-50 fallback if no data within 24 hours; Kalshi states no source.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Draw 0-0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 1.3%

FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Aston Villa wins 1-0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.5%

FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

FC Barcelona 0 - 2 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Aston Villa wins 2-0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.0%

FC Barcelona 0 - 2 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

FC Barcelona 0 - 3 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Aston Villa wins 3-0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

FC Barcelona 0 - 3 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.7 pp

FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

FC Barcelona wins 1-0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.0%

FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Draw 1-1

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Aston Villa wins 2-1

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 3.0%

FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

FC Barcelona 1 - 3 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Aston Villa wins 3-1

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.2%

FC Barcelona 1 - 3 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

FC Barcelona 1 - 4 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Aston Villa wins 4-1

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

FC Barcelona 1 - 4 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

FC Barcelona wins 2-0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

FC Barcelona wins 2-1

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Draw 2-2

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 4.8%

FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

FC Barcelona 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Aston Villa wins 3-2

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 1.9%

FC Barcelona 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

FC Barcelona 2 - 4 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Aston Villa wins 4-2

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6%

FC Barcelona 2 - 4 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

FC Barcelona wins 3-0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

FC Barcelona wins 3-1

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

FC Barcelona wins 3-2

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Draw 3-3

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.1%

FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

FC Barcelona 3 - 4 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Aston Villa wins 4-3

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.9%

FC Barcelona 3 - 4 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

FC Barcelona wins 4-0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 4.8% · Ask 5.4%

FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

FC Barcelona wins 4-1

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 6.1% · Ask 6.6%

FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

FC Barcelona 4 - 2 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

FC Barcelona wins 4-2

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.4%

FC Barcelona 4 - 2 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

FC Barcelona 4 - 3 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

FC Barcelona wins 4-3

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 2.0%

FC Barcelona 4 - 3 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

FC Barcelona 4 - 4 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Draw 4-4

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.7%

FC Barcelona 4 - 4 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

FC Barcelona 5 - 0 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

FC Barcelona wins 5-0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.6%

FC Barcelona 5 - 0 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

FC Barcelona 5 - 1 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

FC Barcelona wins 5-1

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 4.3%

FC Barcelona 5 - 1 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

FC Barcelona 5 - 2 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

FC Barcelona wins 5-2

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 2.9%

FC Barcelona 5 - 2 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

FC Barcelona 5 - 3 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

FC Barcelona wins 5-3

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.6%

FC Barcelona 5 - 3 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.1 pp

FC Barcelona 5 - 4 Aston Villa FC

Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

FC Barcelona wins 5-4

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7%

FC Barcelona 5 - 4 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

Any Other Score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid — · Ask 20.0%

Any Other Score

Open Polymarket ↗

FC Barcelona 0 - 4 Aston Villa FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

FC Barcelona 0 - 4 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

FC Barcelona 0 - 5 Aston Villa FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid — · Ask 20.0%

FC Barcelona 0 - 5 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

FC Barcelona 1 - 5 Aston Villa FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.3%

Bid — · Ask 26.6%

FC Barcelona 1 - 5 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

FC Barcelona 2 - 5 Aston Villa FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid — · Ask 6.1%

FC Barcelona 2 - 5 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

FC Barcelona 3 - 5 Aston Villa FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid — · Ask 2.8%

FC Barcelona 3 - 5 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

FC Barcelona 4 - 5 Aston Villa FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.1%

Bid — · Ask 16.1%

FC Barcelona 4 - 5 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

FC Barcelona 5 - 5 Aston Villa FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid — · Ask 4.4%

FC Barcelona 5 - 5 Aston Villa FC

Open Polymarket ↗

FC Barcelona wins 6-0

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

FC Barcelona wins 6-0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

FC Barcelona wins 6-1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

FC Barcelona wins 6-1

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

FC Barcelona wins 6-2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

FC Barcelona wins 6-2

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

FC Barcelona wins 6-3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

FC Barcelona wins 6-3

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

FC Barcelona wins 7-0

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

FC Barcelona wins 7-0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

FC Barcelona wins 7-1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

FC Barcelona wins 7-1

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

FC Barcelona wins 7-2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

FC Barcelona wins 7-2

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

FC Barcelona wins 8-0

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

FC Barcelona wins 8-0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

FC Barcelona wins 8-1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

FC Barcelona wins 8-1

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.