Market comparison

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

1 venue · 8 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

9 outcomes · $1.9M reported volume

Observed 5254h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Mar 18, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Cut–Pause–Cut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Cut–Pause–Cut Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cut–Pause–Cut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Cut–Cut–Cut · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cut–Pause–Pause Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Cut–Pause–Pause Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cut–Pause–Pause Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Cut–Cut–Pause · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pause–Pause–Cut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Pause–Cut–Cut · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pause–Pause–Cut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Pause–Pause–Cut · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pause–Pause–Pause Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Pause–Cut–Pause · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pause–Pause–Pause Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Pause–Pause–Pause · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

Cut–Pause–Cut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Cut–Pause–Cut

Open Polymarket ↗

Cut–Pause–Cut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Cut–Cut–Cut · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Cut–Pause–Pause

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Cut–Pause–Pause

Open Polymarket ↗

Cut–Pause–Pause

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Cut–Cut–Pause · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Pause–Pause–Cut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Pause–Cut–Cut · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Pause–Pause–Cut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Pause–Pause–Cut · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Pause–Pause–Pause

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Pause–Cut–Pause · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Pause–Pause–Pause

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Pause–Pause–Pause · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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