Market comparison

FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 52s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Patronis, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 93.1% · Ask 99.0% Patronis, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Patronis, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.3% Bid 91.5% · Ask 99.0% Patronis, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Patronis, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.2% Patronis, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Patronis, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 83.0% Patronis, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Patronis, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 76.0% Patronis, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Patronis, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 65.0% Patronis, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Patronis, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 55.0% Patronis, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Patronis, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0% Patronis, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Patronis, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Patronis, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Patronis, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.6% Bid 4.1% · Ask 15.0% Patronis, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Patronis, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.8% Patronis, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.0% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.0% Republican 5-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.7% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 36.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.2% Bid 1.5% · Ask 20.9% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.2% Bid 11.8% · Ask 28.6% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.9% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.1% Republican 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Patronis, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 93.1% · Ask 99.0%

Patronis, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Patronis, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.3%

Bid 91.5% · Ask 99.0%

Patronis, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Patronis, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.2%

Patronis, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Patronis, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 83.0%

Patronis, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Patronis, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 76.0%

Patronis, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Patronis, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 65.0%

Patronis, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Patronis, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 55.0%

Patronis, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Patronis, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0%

Patronis, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Patronis, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Patronis, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Patronis, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.6%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 15.0%

Patronis, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Patronis, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.8%

Patronis, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.0%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.0%

Republican 5-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.7%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 36.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.2%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 20.9%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.2%

Bid 11.8% · Ask 28.6%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.9%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.1%

Republican 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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