Market comparison

FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $26K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.1% Bid 11.7% · Ask 14.5% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.7% Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.3% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.7% Democrat 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.1% Bid 25.0% · Ask 31.1% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.1% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.3% Republican 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rogers, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 86.0% Rogers, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 81.0% Rogers, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 70.0% Rogers, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0% Rogers, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0% Rogers, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Rogers, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 7.2% · Ask 19.0% Rogers, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 0.5% · Ask 12.0% Rogers, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.7% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.7% Rogers, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.1%

Bid 11.7% · Ask 14.5%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.7%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.3%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.7%

Democrat 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.1%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 31.1%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.1%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.3%

Republican 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rogers, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 86.0%

Rogers, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 81.0%

Rogers, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 70.0%

Rogers, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0%

Rogers, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0%

Rogers, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Rogers, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 7.2% · Ask 19.0%

Rogers, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 12.0%

Rogers, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.7%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.7%

Rogers, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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