Market comparison

FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Cammack, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 88.0% Cammack, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cammack, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 77.0% Cammack, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cammack, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 64.0% Cammack, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cammack, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 49.0% Cammack, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cammack, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 36.0% Cammack, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cammack, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0% Cammack, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cammack, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.3% Bid 3.7% · Ask 15.0% Cammack, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cammack, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Cammack, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cammack, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.7% Cammack, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.6% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.3% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.8% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.6% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 3.2% · Ask 5.9% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.3% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Cammack, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 88.0%

Cammack, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cammack, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 77.0%

Cammack, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cammack, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 64.0%

Cammack, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cammack, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 49.0%

Cammack, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cammack, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 36.0%

Cammack, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cammack, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0%

Cammack, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cammack, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.3%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 15.0%

Cammack, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cammack, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Cammack, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cammack, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.7%

Cammack, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.6%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.3%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.8%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.6%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 5.9%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.3%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets