Market comparison

FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.4% Bid 5.3% · Ask 5.5% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Haridopolos, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.8% Bid 86.0% · Ask 95.5% Haridopolos, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haridopolos, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.7% Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.3% Haridopolos, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haridopolos, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 81.0% Haridopolos, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haridopolos, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 65.0% Haridopolos, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haridopolos, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.5% Bid 43.0% · Ask 54.0% Haridopolos, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haridopolos, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 38.0% Haridopolos, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haridopolos, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0% Haridopolos, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haridopolos, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 6.1% · Ask 17.0% Haridopolos, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haridopolos, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0% Haridopolos, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haridopolos, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.3% Haridopolos, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haridopolos, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.8% Haridopolos, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.5% Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.2% Bid 11.4% · Ask 14.9% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.3% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 5.3% · Ask 5.6% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 2.1% · Ask 6.7% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.4%

Bid 5.3% · Ask 5.5%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Haridopolos, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.8%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 95.5%

Haridopolos, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haridopolos, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.7%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.3%

Haridopolos, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haridopolos, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 81.0%

Haridopolos, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haridopolos, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 65.0%

Haridopolos, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haridopolos, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

48.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 54.0%

Haridopolos, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haridopolos, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 38.0%

Haridopolos, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haridopolos, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0%

Haridopolos, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haridopolos, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 6.1% · Ask 17.0%

Haridopolos, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haridopolos, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0%

Haridopolos, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haridopolos, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.3%

Haridopolos, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Haridopolos, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.8%

Haridopolos, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.2%

Bid 11.4% · Ask 14.9%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.3%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.3% · Ask 5.6%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 6.7%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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