Market comparison

FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 55s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.1% Bid 21.1% · Ask 27.1% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.6% Bid 7.6% · Ask 11.6% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.2% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gray, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Gray, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gray, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 4.8% · Ask 13.0% Gray, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luna, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0% Luna, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luna, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 56.0% Luna, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luna, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 43.0% Luna, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luna, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 28.0% Luna, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luna, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0% Luna, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luna, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.7% Bid 2.2% · Ask 14.0% Luna, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luna, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.7% Luna, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.3% Bid 23.2% · Ask 23.3% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.9% Bid 8.5% · Ask 15.3% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.6% Bid 17.6% · Ask 19.7% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.3% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 2.6% · Ask 4.0% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 1.8% · Ask 4.7% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.1%

Bid 21.1% · Ask 27.1%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.6%

Bid 7.6% · Ask 11.6%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.2%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gray, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Gray, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gray, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 4.8% · Ask 13.0%

Gray, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luna, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0%

Luna, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luna, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 56.0%

Luna, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luna, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 43.0%

Luna, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luna, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 28.0%

Luna, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luna, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0%

Luna, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luna, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.7%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 14.0%

Luna, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Luna, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.7%

Luna, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.3%

Bid 23.2% · Ask 23.3%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.9%

Bid 8.5% · Ask 15.3%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.6%

Bid 17.6% · Ask 19.7%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.3%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 4.0%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 4.7%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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