Market comparison

FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 51s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 2.8% · Ask 8.9% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Franklin, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.3% Franklin, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Franklin, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 86.0% Franklin, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Franklin, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0% Franklin, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Franklin, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0% Franklin, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Franklin, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0% Franklin, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Franklin, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 31.0% Franklin, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Franklin, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 8.9% · Ask 20.0% Franklin, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Franklin, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 1.5% · Ask 13.0% Franklin, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Franklin, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.1% Franklin, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Franklin, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.2% Franklin, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Franklin, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3% Franklin, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Franklin, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Franklin, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 2.4% · Ask 2.5% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 5.0% · Ask 5.1% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.2% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 8.9%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Franklin, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.3%

Franklin, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Franklin, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 86.0%

Franklin, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Franklin, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0%

Franklin, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Franklin, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0%

Franklin, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Franklin, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0%

Franklin, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Franklin, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 31.0%

Franklin, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Franklin, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 8.9% · Ask 20.0%

Franklin, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Franklin, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 13.0%

Franklin, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Franklin, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.1%

Franklin, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Franklin, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.2%

Franklin, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Franklin, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3%

Franklin, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Franklin, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Franklin, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 2.5%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 5.1%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.2%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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