Market comparison

FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.8% Bid 10.7% · Ask 16.8% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mast, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 89.0% Mast, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mast, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 77.0% Mast, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mast, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 65.0% Mast, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mast, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 47.0% Mast, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mast, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0% Mast, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mast, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 18.0% Mast, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mast, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Mast, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mast, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.6% Mast, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mast, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.4% Mast, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.8% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 26.9% · Ask 28.1% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 26.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.8% Bid 1.5% · Ask 16.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 1.2% · Ask 4.6% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.8%

Bid 10.7% · Ask 16.8%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mast, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 89.0%

Mast, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mast, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 77.0%

Mast, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mast, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 65.0%

Mast, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mast, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 47.0%

Mast, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mast, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0%

Mast, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mast, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 18.0%

Mast, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mast, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Mast, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mast, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.6%

Mast, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mast, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.4%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.4%

Mast, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.8%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 26.9% · Ask 28.1%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 26.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.8%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 4.6%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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