Market comparison

FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 23 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.6% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.4% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.3% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.4% Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.2% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 39.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.9% Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.8% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.1% Bid 21.2% · Ask 28.9% Democrat 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Frankel, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	95.5% Bid 94.0% · Ask 95.9% Frankel, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	95.3% Bid 94.0% · Ask 95.9% Frankel, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.9% Bid 93.9% · Ask 95.9% Frankel, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.5% Bid 93.5% · Ask 95.9% Frankel, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.3% Bid 92.3% · Ask 95.9% Frankel, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.1% Bid 90.1% · Ask 93.0% Frankel, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	88.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 88.0% Frankel, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	76.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 76.0% Frankel, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0% Frankel, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0% Frankel, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 46.0% Frankel, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 31.0% Frankel, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.1% Bid 8.1% · Ask 20.0% Frankel, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Frankel, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 12.0% Frankel, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.4%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.3%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.2%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

36.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 39.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

12.9%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.8%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

25.1%

Bid 21.2% · Ask 28.9%

Democrat 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Frankel, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

95.5%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 95.9%

Frankel, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

95.3%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 95.9%

Frankel, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.9%

Bid 93.9% · Ask 95.9%

Frankel, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.5%

Bid 93.5% · Ask 95.9%

Frankel, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.3%

Bid 92.3% · Ask 95.9%

Frankel, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

90.1%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 93.0%

Frankel, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 88.0%

Frankel, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 76.0%

Frankel, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0%

Frankel, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0%

Frankel, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 46.0%

Frankel, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 31.0%

Frankel, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.1%

Bid 8.1% · Ask 20.0%

Frankel, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Frankel, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 12.0%

Frankel, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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