Market comparison

FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 38.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.6% Bid 19.6% · Ask 21.7% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.4% Bid 10.0% · Ask 10.8% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 5.2% · Ask 8.9% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.5% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.7% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 9.2% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.2% · Ask 4.9% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rodriguez, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.5% Bid 33.0% · Ask 42.0% Rodriguez, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rodriguez, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 29.0% Rodriguez, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rodriguez, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 8.7% · Ask 19.0% Rodriguez, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rodriguez, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.9% Bid 1.7% · Ask 13.0% Rodriguez, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salazar, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0% Salazar, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salazar, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Salazar, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salazar, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0% Salazar, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salazar, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 31.0% Salazar, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salazar, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 9.2% · Ask 21.0% Salazar, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salazar, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 2.2% · Ask 14.0% Salazar, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 38.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.6%

Bid 19.6% · Ask 21.7%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.4%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 10.8%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 8.9%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.5%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.7%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 9.2%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 4.9%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rodriguez, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 42.0%

Rodriguez, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rodriguez, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 29.0%

Rodriguez, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rodriguez, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.7% · Ask 19.0%

Rodriguez, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rodriguez, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.9%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 13.0%

Rodriguez, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salazar, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0%

Salazar, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salazar, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Salazar, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salazar, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0%

Salazar, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salazar, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 31.0%

Salazar, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salazar, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 9.2% · Ask 21.0%

Salazar, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salazar, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 14.0%

Salazar, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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