Market comparison
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
2 venues · 25 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗36 outcomes · $119K reported volume
Observed 15s ago
Observed 1m ago
Observed 15s ago
Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2028
Polymarket
Open venue ↗43 outcomes · $25K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2027
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Bruno Retailleau Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
David Lisnard Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Dominique de Villepin Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
douard Philippe Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
François Hollande Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
François Ruffin Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Gabriel Attal Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Jordan Bardella Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Marine Le Pen Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Marine Tondelier Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Raphaël Glucksmann Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
ric Zemmour Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Andrey Gyurov Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Christine Lagarde Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Iliana Yotova Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ivan Hristanov Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ivaylo Simeonov Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ivelin Mihaylov Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kostadin Kostadinov Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nikolay Nenchev Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Radostin Vasilev Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sarah Knafo Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sébastien Lecornu Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Xavier Bertrand Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Bruno Retailleau
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
David Lisnard
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Dominique de Villepin
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
douard Philippe
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
François Hollande
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
François Ruffin
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Gabriel Attal
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Jordan Bardella
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Marine Le Pen
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Marine Tondelier
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Raphaël Glucksmann
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
ric Zemmour
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Andrey Gyurov
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Christine Lagarde
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Iliana Yotova
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ivan Hristanov
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ivaylo Simeonov
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ivelin Mihaylov
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Kostadin Kostadinov
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Nikolay Nenchev
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Radostin Vasilev
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Sarah Knafo
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Sébastien Lecornu
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Xavier Bertrand
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.