The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

FRESH · First Week Album Equivalent Units

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

20 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 9s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 15, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

25k+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

88.5%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 96.0%

25k+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

50k+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

76.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 86.0%

50k+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

100k+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 44.0%

100k+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

200k+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 71.0%

200k+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 20K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 96.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 20K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 40K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 96.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 40K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 60K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 80.0%

Above 60K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 80K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 61.0%

Above 80K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 100K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0%

Above 100K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 120K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 26.0%

Above 120K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 140K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 17.0%

Above 140K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 160K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

Above 160K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 180K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 180K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 200K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 200K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 220K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 220K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 240K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above 240K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 260K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above 260K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 280K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above 280K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 300K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above 300K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 320K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above 320K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 340K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above 340K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 360K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Above 360K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 380K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above 380K

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 400K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above 400K

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.