Market comparison

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

10 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Above $1B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% Above $1B Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $1M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% Above $1M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $2B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 10.0% Above $2B Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $4B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0% Above $4B Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	66.5% Bid 62.0% · Ask 71.0% Above $5M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $6B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Above $6B Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $10M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 44.0% Above $10M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $50M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0% Above $50M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $100M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 29.0% Above $100M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $500M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.0% Above $500M Open Kalshi ↗	—

Above $1B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0%

Above $1B

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $1M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above $1M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $2B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 10.0%

Above $2B

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $4B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0%

Above $4B

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

66.5%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 71.0%

Above $5M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $6B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Above $6B

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $10M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 44.0%

Above $10M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $50M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0%

Above $50M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $100M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 29.0%

Above $100M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $500M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.0%

Above $500M

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets