Market comparison

GDP growth in 2026

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $425K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 28, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $89K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 29, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for GDP growth in 2026
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
0.0% or Below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.9% 0.0% or Below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
0.1% to 0.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.7% 0.1% to 0.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
0.5–1.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% 0.5–1.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—
0.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4% <0.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
0.6% to 1.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.5% 0.6% to 1.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
1.0–1.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% 1.0–1.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
1.1% to 1.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.6% 1.1% to 1.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
1.5–2.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.8% 1.5–2.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—
1.6% to 2.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.1% Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0% 1.6% to 2.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
2.0–2.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0% 2.0–2.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
2.1% to 2.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.2% Bid 55.0% · Ask 66.0% 2.1% to 2.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
2.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.1% Bid 38.1% · Ask 48.2% >2.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
2.6% to 3.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.6% Bid 12.2% · Ask 14.6% 2.6% to 3.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
3.1% to 3.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.8% 3.1% to 3.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
3.6% to 4.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% 3.6% to 4.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
4.1% to 4.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.9% 4.1% to 4.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
4.6% to 5.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.4% 4.6% to 5.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.1% to 5.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.4% 5.1% to 5.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.6% to 6.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% 5.6% to 6.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
6.1% or Above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.4% 6.1% or Above Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

0.0% or Below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.9%

0.0% or Below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

0.1% to 0.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.7%

0.1% to 0.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

0.5–1.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

0.5–1.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

0.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

<0.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

0.6% to 1.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.5%

0.6% to 1.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

1.0–1.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

1.0–1.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

1.1% to 1.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.1%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.6%

1.1% to 1.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

1.5–2.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.8%

1.5–2.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

1.6% to 2.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.1%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0%

1.6% to 2.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

2.0–2.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

55.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0%

2.0–2.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

2.1% to 2.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

58.2%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 66.0%

2.1% to 2.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

2.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

43.1%

Bid 38.1% · Ask 48.2%

>2.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

2.6% to 3.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.6%

Bid 12.2% · Ask 14.6%

2.6% to 3.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

3.1% to 3.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.8%

3.1% to 3.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

3.6% to 4.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

3.6% to 4.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

4.1% to 4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.9%

4.1% to 4.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

4.6% to 5.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.4%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.4%

4.6% to 5.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.1% to 5.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.4%

5.1% to 5.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.6% to 6.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1%

5.6% to 6.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

6.1% or Above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.4%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.4%

6.1% or Above

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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