Market comparison

Germany unemployment rate in October

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 6, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 30, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Germany unemployment rate in October
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
3.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% ≤3.8% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% 3.9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.2% 4.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0% 4.1% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.5% Bid 35.0% · Ask 38.0% 4.2% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% 4.3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.6% 4.4% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% 4.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.7% ≥4.6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 5.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 5.9% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 6.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	97.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 6.1% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 6.2% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 88.0% Above 6.3% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 51.0% Above 6.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0% Above 6.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Above 6.6% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Above 6.7% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Above 6.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—

3.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

≤3.8%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

3.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.2%

4.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0%

4.1%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 38.0%

4.2%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

4.3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.6%

4.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

4.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.7%

≥4.6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 5.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 5.9%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 6.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 6.1%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 6.2%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 88.0%

Above 6.3%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 51.0%

Above 6.4%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0%

Above 6.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Above 6.6%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.7%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 6.7%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 6.8%

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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