Market comparison

Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream

2 venues · 44 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $130K reported volume

Observed 44s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

43 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 44s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Golden State Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	35.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 35.0% Golden State Open Kalshi ↗	36.5% Bid 36.0% · Ask 37.0% Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp
1H Moneyline Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 95.0% 1H Moneyline Open Polymarket ↗	—
1H O/U 76.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% 1H O/U 76.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
1H Spread -2.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% 1H Spread -2.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
1Q Moneyline Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 99.9% 1Q Moneyline Open Polymarket ↗	—
1Q O/U 38.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% 1Q O/U 38.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
1Q Spread -1.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.5% Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0% 1Q Spread -1.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
2H Moneyline Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% 2H Moneyline Open Polymarket ↗	—
2H O/U 76.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% 2H O/U 76.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
2H Spread -2.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% 2H Spread -2.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
2Q Moneyline Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% 2Q Moneyline Open Polymarket ↗	—
2Q O/U 38.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% 2Q O/U 38.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
2Q Spread -1.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 77.0% 2Q Spread -1.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
3Q Moneyline Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% 3Q Moneyline Open Polymarket ↗	—
3Q O/U 38.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% 3Q O/U 38.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
3Q Spread -1.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 54.0% 3Q Spread -1.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
4Q Moneyline Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% 4Q Moneyline Open Polymarket ↗	—
4Q O/U 38.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0% 4Q O/U 38.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
4Q Spread -1.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 78.0% 4Q Spread -1.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 49.0% Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Allisha Gray: Points O/U 15.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 57.0% Allisha Gray: Points O/U 15.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 46.0% Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 48.0% Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 55.0% Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Angel Reese: Points O/U 16.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 93.0% Angel Reese: Points O/U 16.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 57.0% Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Atlanta Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 67.0% Atlanta Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 62.0% Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 18.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 54.0% Gabby Williams: Points O/U 18.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 64.0% Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 92.0% Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 46.0% Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 58.0% Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 61.0% Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
O/U 152.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.5% Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0% O/U 152.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
O/U 153.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 52.0% O/U 153.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 50.0% Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 14.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 97.0% Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 14.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 15.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 50.0% Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 15.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 46.0% Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spread -4.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.5% Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0% Spread -4.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 4.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 47.0% Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 4.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Veronica Burton: Points O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 57.0% Veronica Burton: Points O/U 8.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 50.0% Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—

Golden State

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 35.0%

Golden State

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

36.5%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 37.0%

Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

1H Moneyline

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 95.0%

1H Moneyline

Open Polymarket ↗

1H O/U 76.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

1H O/U 76.5

Open Polymarket ↗

1H Spread -2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

1H Spread -2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

1Q Moneyline

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 99.9%

1Q Moneyline

Open Polymarket ↗

1Q O/U 38.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

1Q O/U 38.5

Open Polymarket ↗

1Q Spread -1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0%

1Q Spread -1.5

Open Polymarket ↗

2H Moneyline

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

2H Moneyline

Open Polymarket ↗

2H O/U 76.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

2H O/U 76.5

Open Polymarket ↗

2H Spread -2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

2H Spread -2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

2Q Moneyline

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

2Q Moneyline

Open Polymarket ↗

2Q O/U 38.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

2Q O/U 38.5

Open Polymarket ↗

2Q Spread -1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

40.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 77.0%

2Q Spread -1.5

Open Polymarket ↗

3Q Moneyline

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

3Q Moneyline

Open Polymarket ↗

3Q O/U 38.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

3Q O/U 38.5

Open Polymarket ↗

3Q Spread -1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 54.0%

3Q Spread -1.5

Open Polymarket ↗

4Q Moneyline

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

4Q Moneyline

Open Polymarket ↗

4Q O/U 38.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

4Q O/U 38.5

Open Polymarket ↗

4Q Spread -1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 78.0%

4Q Spread -1.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 49.0%

Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Allisha Gray: Points O/U 15.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 57.0%

Allisha Gray: Points O/U 15.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 46.0%

Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 48.0%

Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 55.0%

Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Angel Reese: Points O/U 16.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 93.0%

Angel Reese: Points O/U 16.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 57.0%

Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Atlanta

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 67.0%

Atlanta

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 62.0%

Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Gabby Williams: Points O/U 18.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 54.0%

Gabby Williams: Points O/U 18.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 64.0%

Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 92.0%

Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 46.0%

Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 58.0%

Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 61.0%

Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 152.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0%

O/U 152.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 153.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 52.0%

O/U 153.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 50.0%

Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 14.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 97.0%

Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 14.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 15.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 50.0%

Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 15.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 46.0%

Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0%

Spread -4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 47.0%

Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Veronica Burton: Points O/U 8.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 57.0%

Veronica Burton: Points O/U 8.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 50.0%

Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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