The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $136K reported volume

Observed 3877h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Feb 28, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

86.3%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

64.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

61.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

60%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

54.3%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

60%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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