The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

GOP Black vote share?

2 venues · 15 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

8 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 6, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 7, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

8–9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 36.0%

8–9%

Open Polymarket ↗

8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0%

<8%

Open Polymarket ↗

10–11%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0%

10–11%

Open Polymarket ↗

12–13%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0%

12–13%

Open Polymarket ↗

14–15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.4%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.8%

14–15%

Open Polymarket ↗

16–17%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

16–17%

Open Polymarket ↗

18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 9.7%

18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Above 6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.0%

Above 6%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 82.0%

Above 8%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 62.0%

Above 9%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 47.0%

Above 10%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0%

Above 12%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 14%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Above 14%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 16%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Above 16%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0%

Above 18%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.