The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Griekspoor vs Lehecka

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 57s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 6, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 57s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 30, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
  • Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
  • Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
  • Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
  • Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Griekspoor

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 28.0%

Tallon Griekspoor

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Completed Match

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 97.0%

Completed Match

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

89.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 96.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 8.5

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

69.5%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 21.5

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

67.5%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 74.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 9.5

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

59.5%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 60.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 22.5

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 95.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 50.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 23.5

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 95.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 O/U 10.5

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 95.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 O/U 8.5

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 95.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 O/U 9.5

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

46.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 47.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Game Spread +/-3.5

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 39.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 10.5

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 38.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Total Sets: O/U 2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 33.0%

European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Jiri Lehecka

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 73.0%

Jiri Lehecka

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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