Market comparison

Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 7, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Schoolkate

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

64.5%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 65.0%

Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui

Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Schoolkate Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	64.5% Bid 64.0% · Ask 65.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Open Polymarket ↗	66.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 66.0% Tristan Schoolkate Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
Completed Match Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 97.0% Completed Match Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	83.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 86.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	78.5% Bid 58.0% · Ask 99.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Game Spread +/-1.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	62.5% Bid 61.0% · Ask 64.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 Winner Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	60.5% Bid 59.0% · Ask 62.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Match O/U 21.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	57.5% Bid 52.0% · Ask 63.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 9.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 52.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Match O/U 22.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 100.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 2 Winner Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.0% Bid — · Ask 96.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 2 O/U 8.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.0% Bid — · Ask 96.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 2 O/U 9.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.0% Bid — · Ask 96.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 2 O/U 10.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 45.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set Handicap +/-1.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.5% Bid 42.0% · Ask 45.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Match O/U 23.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 38.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Total Sets: O/U 2.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.5% Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0% Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 10.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jie Cui Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 35.0% Jie Cui Open Kalshi ↗	—

Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui

Polymarket

Kalshi

Known rule differences between venues

Schoolkate

Polymarket

Kalshi

Completed Match

Polymarket

Kalshi