The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

How high will BNB get in October?

2 venues · 43 outcome rows · 3 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

36 outcomes · $33K reported volume

Observed 8s ago

Observed 8s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

↑ 900

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $900.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 49.0%

↑ 900

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 20.0 pp

↓ 600

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Below $600.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

↓ 600

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

↓ 700

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 40.0%

Below $700.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 45.0%

↓ 700

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 7.5 pp

1,000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.0%

↑ 1,000

Open Polymarket ↗

1,100

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0%

↑ 1,100

Open Polymarket ↗

1,200

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

↑ 1,200

Open Polymarket ↗

300

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

↓ 300

Open Polymarket ↗

400

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

↓ 400

Open Polymarket ↗

500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.5%

↓ 500

Open Polymarket ↗

800

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 800 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

16.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 24.0%

↑ 800

Open Polymarket ↗

Above $800.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $800.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $810.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 58.0%

Above $810.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $820.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $820.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $830.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 75.0%

Above $830.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $840.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $840.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $850.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $850.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $860.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $860.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $870.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $870.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $880.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $880.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $890.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $890.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $910.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $910.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $920.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $920.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $930.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $930.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $940.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $940.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $950.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Above $950.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $960.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above $960.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above $970.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 87.0%

Above $970.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $580.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Below $580.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $590.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Below $590.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $610.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Below $610.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $620.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Below $620.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $630.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Below $630.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $640.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0%

Below $640.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $650.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 13.0%

Below $650.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $660.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0%

Below $660.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $670.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0%

Below $670.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $680.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 24.0%

Below $680.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $690.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 32.0%

Below $690.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $710.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $710.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $720.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $720.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $730.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $730.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $740.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $740.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below $750.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $750.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.