Market comparison

How high will inflation get this year?

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $1.5M reported volume

Observed 6m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $568K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for How high will inflation get this year?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Above 3.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Above 3.5% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Above 3% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 4.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Above 4.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Above 4% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Above 5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 2.7% · Ask 4.0% Above 6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 2.6% · Ask 3.7% Above 8% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 2.2% · Ask 2.8% Above 10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
At least 3.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.9% Bid 99.5% · Ask 100.0% At least 3.0% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 3.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.9% Bid 99.6% · Ask 100.0% At least 3.5% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 4.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% At least 4.0% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 4.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.7% Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.7% At least 4.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 5.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.7% Bid 6.7% · Ask 9.0% At least 5.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 5.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.4% At least 5.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 6.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.5% Bid 1.5% · Ask 2.9% At least 6.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 6.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% At least 6.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 7.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% At least 7.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—

Above 3.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Above 3.5% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Above 3% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Above 4.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Above 4% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Above 5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 4.0%

Above 6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 3.7%

Above 8%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 2.8%

Above 10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

At least 3.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.9%

Bid 99.5% · Ask 100.0%

At least 3.0% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 3.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.9%

Bid 99.6% · Ask 100.0%

At least 3.5% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 4.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

At least 4.0% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.7%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.7%

At least 4.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 5.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.7%

Bid 6.7% · Ask 9.0%

At least 5.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 5.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.4%

At least 5.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 6.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 2.9%

At least 6.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 6.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

At least 6.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 7.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

At least 7.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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