Market comparison

How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

1 venue · 40 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

40 outcomes · $52K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 30, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
4.9% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 51.0% 4.9% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.89% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0% 4.89% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.91% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	54.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 54.0% 4.91% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.92% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 59.0% 4.92% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.93% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 64.0% 4.93% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.94% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	60.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 69.0% 4.94% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.95% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	73.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 74.0% 4.95% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.96% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 4.96% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.97% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 4.97% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.98% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 4.98% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.99% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 4.99% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.01% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.01% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.1% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	81.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.1% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.02% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.02% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.2% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.2% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.03% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.03% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.04% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.04% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.05% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.05% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.06% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.06% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.07% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.07% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.08% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.08% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.09% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.09% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.11% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.11% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.12% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	87.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.12% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.13% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	85.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.13% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.14% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	88.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.14% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.15% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.15% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.16% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.16% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.17% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.17% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.18% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.18% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.19% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.19% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.21% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.21% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.22% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.22% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.23% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.23% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.24% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.24% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.25% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.25% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.26% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.26% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.27% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.27% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.28% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.28% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 5% or below Open Kalshi ↗	—

4.9% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 51.0%

4.9% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

4.89% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0%

4.89% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

4.91% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 54.0%

4.91% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

4.92% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 59.0%

4.92% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

4.93% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 64.0%

4.93% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

4.94% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 69.0%

4.94% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

4.95% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 74.0%

4.95% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

4.96% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

4.96% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

4.97% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

4.97% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

4.98% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

4.98% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

4.99% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

4.99% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

5.01% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.01% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

5.1% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.1% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.02% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.02% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

5.2% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.2% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.03% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.03% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

5.04% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.04% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

5.05% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.05% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

5.06% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.06% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

5.07% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.07% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

5.08% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.08% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

5.09% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.09% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

5.11% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.11% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.12% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.12% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.13% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.13% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.14% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.14% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.15% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.15% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.16% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.16% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.17% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.17% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.18% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.18% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.19% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.19% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.21% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.21% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.22% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.22% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.23% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.23% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.24% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.24% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.25% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.25% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.26% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.26% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.27% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.27% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.28% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.28% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

5% or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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