Market comparison
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗8 outcomes · $171K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗9 outcomes · $181K reported volume
Observed 33s ago
Observed 33s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 23, 2026
No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
20% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
25% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
30% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
34% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
35% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
36% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
37.8 to 38.0 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
37% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
38.1 to 38.3 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
38.4 to 38.6 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
38.7 to 38.9 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
39.0 to 39.2 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
39.3 to 39.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
40% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 37.4% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 39.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Below 37.8 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
20%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
25%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
30%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
34%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
35%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
36%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
37.8 to 38.0
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
37%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
38.1 to 38.3
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
38.4 to 38.6
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
38.7 to 38.9
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
39.0 to 39.2
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
39.3 to 39.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
40%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Above 37.4%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 39.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Below 37.8
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.