Market comparison

How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?

2 venues · 7 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $113K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 20, 2029

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 21, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
At least 1 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 73.0% At least 1 Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 57.0% At least 2 Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 41.0% At least 3 Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0% At least 4 Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% At least 5 Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% At least 10 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	78.5% Bid 76.0% · Ask 81.0% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

At least 1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 73.0%

At least 1

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 57.0%

At least 2

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 41.0%

At least 3

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0%

At least 4

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

At least 5

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

At least 10

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

78.5%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 81.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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