Market comparison

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

1 venue · 6 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

6 outcomes · $255K reported volume

Observed 4238h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Apr 30, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old <2 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
2–3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 2–3 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
4–5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4–5 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
6–7 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 6–7 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
8–9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	94.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 8–9 Open Polymarket ↗	—
10+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 10+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

<2 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

2–3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

2–3 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

4–5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4–5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

6–7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

6–7 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

8–9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

94.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

8–9

Open Polymarket ↗

10+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

10+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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