Market comparison
How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
2 venues · 35 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗31 outcomes · $1.2M reported volume
Observed 15s ago
Observed 15s ago
Observed 15s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗5 outcomes · $2K reported volume
Observed 15s ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026
No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
1 or below Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
2 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
3 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
4 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
6 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
7 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
8 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
9 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
10 or above Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
14 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
15 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
16 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
17+ Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 6 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 7 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 8 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 9 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 10 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 11 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 12 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 13 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 14 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 15 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 16 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 120 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 140 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 145 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 150 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 160 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 170 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 180 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 190 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 200 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 210 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
1 or below
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
2
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
3
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
4
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
6
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
7
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
8
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
9
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
10 or above
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
14
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
15
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
16
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
17+
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Above 6
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 7
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 8
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 9
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 10
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 11
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 12
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 13
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 14
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 15
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 16
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 120
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 140
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 145
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 150
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 160
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 170
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 180
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 190
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 200
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 210
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.