Market comparison
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
2 venues · 27 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗8 outcomes · $525K reported volume
Observed 28s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗20 outcomes · $86K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
5 Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
1 or below Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
2 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
3 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
4 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
5-6 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
6 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
7 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
7-8 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
8 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
9 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
9-10 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
10 or above Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
11-12 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
13-14 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
15-16 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
16 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 3 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 4 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 6 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 7 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 8 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 9 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 10 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 11 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 12 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
5
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
1 or below
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
2
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
3
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
4
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
5-6
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
6
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
7
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
7-8
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
8
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
9
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
9-10
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
10 or above
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
11-12
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
13-14
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
15-16
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
16
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Above 3
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 4
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 6
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 7
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 8
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 9
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 10
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 11
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Above 12
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.