Market comparison

IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 42s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 42s ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Bohannan, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 84.0% Bohannan, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bohannan, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0% Bohannan, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bohannan, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0% Bohannan, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bohannan, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0% Bohannan, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bohannan, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0% Bohannan, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bohannan, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.8% Bid 2.3% · Ask 13.0% Bohannan, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.8% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.8% Bid 14.4% · Ask 27.2% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.6% Bid 16.1% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.9% Bid 6.7% · Ask 15.1% Democrat 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.9% Bid 10.9% · Ask 22.9% Democrat 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 1.5% · Ask 7.0% Democrat 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Meeks, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Meeks, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Meeks, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.7% Bid 2.3% · Ask 7.9% Meeks, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Meeks, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.7% Meeks, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.8% Bid 7.6% · Ask 10.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.2% Republican 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Bohannan, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 84.0%

Bohannan, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bohannan, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0%

Bohannan, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bohannan, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0%

Bohannan, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bohannan, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0%

Bohannan, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bohannan, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0%

Bohannan, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bohannan, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.8%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 13.0%

Bohannan, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.8%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.8%

Bid 14.4% · Ask 27.2%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.6%

Bid 16.1% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.9%

Bid 6.7% · Ask 15.1%

Democrat 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.9%

Bid 10.9% · Ask 22.9%

Democrat 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 7.0%

Democrat 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Meeks, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Meeks, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Meeks, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.7%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 7.9%

Meeks, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Meeks, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.7%

Meeks, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.8%

Bid 7.6% · Ask 10.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.2%

Republican 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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