Market comparison

IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 52s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.5% · Ask 7.5% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 5.9% · Ask 9.7% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 15.1% · Ask 16.8% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.9% Bid 15.2% · Ask 16.6% Democrat 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 17.1% Democrat 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.6% Democrat 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Garriott, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 80.0% Garriott, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garriott, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 65.0% Garriott, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garriott, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 54.0% Garriott, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garriott, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0% Garriott, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garriott, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 27.0% Garriott, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garriott, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 98.9% Garriott, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garriott, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 98.9% Garriott, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nunn, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 6.2% · Ask 18.0% Nunn, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nunn, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Nunn, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nunn, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.7% Nunn, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nunn, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.1% Nunn, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 3.7% · Ask 5.1% Republican 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.5% · Ask 7.5%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 5.9% · Ask 9.7%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.1% · Ask 16.8%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.9%

Bid 15.2% · Ask 16.6%

Democrat 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.3%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 17.1%

Democrat 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.6%

Democrat 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Garriott, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 80.0%

Garriott, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garriott, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 65.0%

Garriott, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garriott, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 54.0%

Garriott, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garriott, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0%

Garriott, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garriott, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 27.0%

Garriott, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garriott, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 98.9%

Garriott, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garriott, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 98.9%

Garriott, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Nunn, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 6.2% · Ask 18.0%

Nunn, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Nunn, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Nunn, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Nunn, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.7%

Nunn, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Nunn, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.1%

Nunn, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 5.1%

Republican 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets