Market comparison

ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fulcher, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 89.0% Fulcher, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fulcher, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 79.0% Fulcher, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fulcher, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 64.0% Fulcher, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fulcher, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 48.0% Fulcher, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fulcher, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0% Fulcher, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fulcher, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 8.9% · Ask 20.0% Fulcher, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fulcher, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 12.0% Fulcher, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fulcher, 45+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.5% Fulcher, 45+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fulcher, 48+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.7% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.7% Fulcher, 48+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.7% Bid 10.1% · Ask 15.3% Republican 10-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.2% Bid 14.8% · Ask 17.6% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.2% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.3% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.6% Republican 50%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fulcher, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 89.0%

Fulcher, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fulcher, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 79.0%

Fulcher, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fulcher, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 64.0%

Fulcher, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fulcher, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 48.0%

Fulcher, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fulcher, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0%

Fulcher, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fulcher, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.5%

Bid 8.9% · Ask 20.0%

Fulcher, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fulcher, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 12.0%

Fulcher, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fulcher, 45+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.5%

Fulcher, 45+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Fulcher, 48+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.7%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.7%

Fulcher, 48+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.7%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 15.3%

Republican 10-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.2%

Bid 14.8% · Ask 17.6%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.2%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.3%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.6%

Republican 50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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