Market comparison

Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Little, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.9% Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.7% Little, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Little, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	78.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0% Little, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Little, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0% Little, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Little, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 58.0% Little, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Little, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0% Little, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Little, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 32.0% Little, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Little, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Little, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Little, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 1.7% · Ask 12.0% Little, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Little, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.8% Little, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Little, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9% Little, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.6% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.9% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.9% Bid 11.3% · Ask 12.5% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.7% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 2.5% · Ask 8.2% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Republican 50%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Little, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.9%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.7%

Little, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Little, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0%

Little, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Little, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0%

Little, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Little, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 58.0%

Little, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Little, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0%

Little, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Little, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 32.0%

Little, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Little, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Little, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Little, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 12.0%

Little, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Little, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.8%

Little, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Little, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9%

Little, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.6%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.9%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.9%

Bid 11.3% · Ask 12.5%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.7%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 8.2%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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